Noted global investment guru Marc Faber says in his global economic outlook for the month of March that people should continue to buy gold and silver by dollar cost averaging each month.
In the March issue of his famous Gloom, Boom and Doom Report, Faber says that oil price will remain high for the foreseeable future because of the unrest and likely further deterioration in the Middle East, along with inflationary policies by the world’s major central banks.
Here is what Faber has to say on commodities, stocks and emerging markets:
Stock Market: Still bearish in the short-term. Faber cautions against being bearish longer-term as long as the world is printing money, which will continue to inflate nominal stock prices. That said, technical indicators suggest a market correction. In particular, Faber notes the declining number of new 52 week highs, overly optimistic sentiment, and breakdowns in major stocks like Hewlett-Packard and Wal-mart. Furthermore, corporate insiders are selling stocks at a furious pace (855-1), indicating that they believe now is time to take profits, not risks.
Emerging Markets: Faber is still bearish on emerging markets in the short-term, and he expects world markets to correct further. However, emerging markets should be bought on the decline, especially since many of them are already down from their November 2010 highs. He notes that many institutions have been rotating out of EM and into developed markets, despite EM having better fundamentals.
Some EM stocks have fallen 20-30%, which makes them a good value compared to US stocks. EM markets with the lowest forward PE ratios are Russia, Hungary, Turkey, and Brazil, which are good places to invest. Other markets to consider are Malaysia, Thailand, and Singapore where you can get good dividend yields.
Gold: To Faber the risk concerning gold is not whether it goes up or down, but the risk lies in not owning any of it in your portfolio. Gold could face a correction, but this does not bother him. He advises people to continue to accumulate gold and silver by dollar cost averaging every month. Strong fundamentals favor gold long term–not just because of money printing by central banks, but also because demand from emerging markets like China are increasing at an extraordinary rate. In 2010 China and India accounted for 50% of total gold demand in 2010. This number will only increase, providing strong support to the gold price.
Oil and Energy Stocks:
The price of oil will remain high for the foreseeable future because of the unrest and likely further deterioration in the Middle East, along with inflationary policies by the world’s major central banks.
Faber postulates that Pakistan could be the next domino to fall which would be a catastrophe for the world as it has nuclear weapons. While oil has spiked to $100 recently (WTI Crude), Faber thinks it will remain above $90 due to these these factors. Regarding energy stocks, they have a had a nice run, and investors should take profits or wait for a pull back before initiating new positions. Favorites are Chesapeake Energy and Suncor Energy.
Retail Stocks: Faber thinks retails stocks are vulnerable right now as rising food and oil prices reduce consumer spending. Wal-Mart is the classic example of difficult conditions for retails stocks, after the retailer reported another decrease in same store sales. If you want a real proxy for how the economy is doing, follow Wal-Mart’s stock price which has been flat for the past 2 years. Faber even advises people to short the Retail Index (RTH) with a tight stop-loss. For the latest updates PRESS CTR + D or visit Stock Market news Today
Related Post:
Commodity
- Wheat, Gold, oil, Corn, Copper Prices dec 11 2012
- Greek worries weigh on shares, commodities market today nov 13 2012
- MCX commodities prices expected october 23 2012
- Corn, soybeans market forecast week october 22-27 2012
- U.S. grain futures down october 10 2012
- corn, soybeans futures prices 10-2-2012
- London copper futures outlook october 1 2012
- soybeans, wheat , Corn futures prices for 9/27 2012
- How will Wheat Crop Insurance in 2013
- soybeans futures prices down 9-24-2012
- Wheat, corn, soybeans prices down 9/24/2012
- Grain futures prices forecast september 24-28 2012
- Corn, soybeans futures prices 9/21/2012
- food prices expectation 2013
- Corn, soybeans, wheat prices september 17 2012
- corn, soybeans futures prices september 11 2012
- grain futures prices september 10 2012
- grain futures prices forecast september 10-14 2012
- Corn, soybeans futures prices sept 5 2012
- U.S. soft futures prices 9/5/2012
- Grains prices forecast sept 3-7, 2012
- USDA forecast Agricultural Exports 2013
- Grain futures prices outlook 8/31/2012
- Ahead Russian Agriculture Ministry meetings 8/31/2012
- Grain futures prices 8/30/2012
oil
- crude oil futures prices today have advanced
- WTI Crude Oil prices expected october 23 2012
- Crude oil futures forecast week oct 15-19 2012
- Crude oil futures prices october 2 2012
- Technical prediction Crude oil october 1-5 2012
- Crude oil futures prices september 28 2012
- Crude oil futures prices september 27 2012
- Crude oil futures prices down september 26 2012
- crude oil futures prices for 25/9/2012
- Why Crude oil futures down september 24 2012
- Crude oil prices for week september 24-28 2012
- India fuel consumption august 2012
- Crude oil futures prices for 9/21/2012
- Why Crude oil prices down september 18 2012
- Crude oil prices forecast september 17-21 2012
- Crude oil futures fell september 11 2012
- Crude oil futures down september 10 2012
- Crude oil prices for september 10-14 2012
- Crude oil futures september 3 2012
- Crude oil futures prices forecast september 3-7, 2012
- EIA expects oil prices for 2012 - 2013
- Crude oil price forecasts 2012 - 2013
- Brent crude futures ahead of Bernanke speech 8/31/2012
- Crude oil futures prices outlook 8/31/2012
- Crude oil futures prices outlook 8-30-2012
gold
- Gold will climb toward $1,900 an ounce first half 2013
- Why Gold prices down analysis jan 7 2013
- Gold Prices expected Bullish Next Week
- Analysis forecast Gold prices in india 2013
- Why gold futures prices Down, Analysis december 26 2012
- Analysis gold prices for next week december 17-21 2012
- Goldman Sachs forecasts gold prices 2013-2014
- Analysis Gold prices dec 3 2012
- Gold, Silver Prices rose watch U.S budget deal
- Gold futures down in Asia trading november 14 2012
- analysis gold prices next week november 12-16 2012
- MCX Gold trend for november 12-16 2012
- Analysis Gold prices after obama win
- Analysis gold prices next week November 5-9 2012
- MCX Gold prices down october 30 2012
- Gold prices prediction next week october 29 2012
- Spot Gold prices expected down october 2012
- gold prices for next week october 22-26 2012
- gold futures prices expected week october 15-19 2012
- gold prices for next week october 8-12 2012
- how will Impact tensions in the Middle East on Gold Prices
- Gold Prices predicted $2,400 summer 2013
- Gold futures Prices october 4 2012
- Technical Forecast Gold, Silver prices october 1-5 2012
- Gold prices prediction october 1-5 2012
No comments:
Post a Comment