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Saturday, July 7, 2012

stock market forecast weekly july 9-13 2012

stock market forecast weekly july 9-13 2012 : After a week of fending off gloomy economic data, investors may get little respite next week as U.S. companies report earnings expected to bear the scars of a battered global market. US stock markets look set for a rough ride next week after a disappointing jobs report underpinned fears the economy's tepid growth is slowing.

The much-awaited June labour data overnight showed dull job generation for the third consecutive month - at 80,000 jobs, far below what is needed to reduce the 8.2 per cent unemployment rate.

Stocks fell sharply as the weak hiring raised alarms the struggling three-year-old recovery from deep recession is petering out under pressure from Europe's debt crisis. Continuing concern over slow growth in the global economy was the likely culprit for the weak jobs number in June,

Adding to the uncertainty for employers was the November presidential election and the automatic spending cuts and tax hikes that kick in at the end of the year,

The worse news is that those concerns are only likely to get worse in the second half of the year as the US approaches both the presidential election and the fiscal cliff looming at the end of the year.

The markets pared heavy losses in late trade, wrapping up a week shortened by Wednesday's public holiday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished at 12,772.47 points, down 0.84 per cent from a week ago. The S&P 500 index, a broad measure of the markets, fell 0.55 per cent over the week to 1,354.68. The tech-rich Nasdaq closed the week in positive territory, with a small gain of 0.08 per cent at 2,937.33.

A warning on slowing global growth from International Monetary Fund managing director Christine Lagarde also hit sentiment yesterday. Ms Lagarde said the IMF would cut its growth forecast in its global outlook to be released later this month.

The week's economic calendar got off to a gloomy start after the Institute for Supply Management reported US manufacturing fell for the first time in three years in June. The ISM also reported growth in the massive services sector slowed last month.

Monday brings the unofficial kick-off of second-quarter earnings season, with aluminum giant Alcoa reporting results after the markets close. Read Earning report next week july 9-13 2012

The economic calendar will lighten up. International trade will be in focus on Wednesday, as well as the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting of its policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

"The May trade data will help set expectations for Q2 growth while the minutes of the June FOMC meeting will likely garner the most attention,

Europe meeting Monday
Much of the attention, however, will remain in Europe, as euro-zone finance ministers gather on Monday to flesh out details of the crisis measures they agreed on at the European Union summit last month. On the table are pressing matters over how to use the rescue fund — or the European Stability Mechanism — to aid struggling members Spain and Cyprus; next steps for Greece; as well as when the European Central Bank-led single banking regulator might be formed.

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1 comment:

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