Wednesday, January 18, 2012

affect us presidential election 2012 on stock market

affect us presidential election 2012 on stock market : The years leading up to the 2012 election have been an absolute economic shitstorm. This can go one of two ways. If the economy regains some lasting strength, it will be a big boon for the incumbent, President Barack Obama. If it continues to falter, people will be looking to Republican challengers for "coherent" solutions.

The Presidential Election 2012 is on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. No incumbent has won reelection in the past 70 years with unemployment above 7.2%; reported unemployment is nearly 9% (and real unemployment much higher) less than 12 months before the election. Barack Obama also cannot win reelection unless he carries Florida, where he has a high disapproval rating; he is likewise polling poorly in the key swing states of Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina.

Presidential Elections and Stock Market Cycles
For the past several decades, individuals in all walks of life have observed the cyclical nature of the stock market. Pundits have attempted to correlate these cycles with everything from referencing the position of the moon and stars to using highly sophisticated econometric models. Read more..

2012 Presidential Election Effect On Tech Stocks
As many of today's leading technology stocks are relatively new, we examined the performance of the NASDAQ 100 index from October 1 of the year preceding the election to October 1 of the election year, for the past 40 years. Hence, we accumulated data for the past 10 U.S. Elections: Read more..

US Election 2012: will investors prosper from the presidential election
The S&P 500, a broadly based index of US shares, has fallen in only three Presidential election years since 1952. Should American shares get investors' vote in presidential election year? In the past, buying US equities at the start of the race for the White House has usually proved a shrewd move. Wall Street tends to do well as incumbent presidents promote optimism among the electorate by boosting the economy. Read more..

U.S. Markets and Election 2012, Pull Out The Big Guns
On the plus side of the balance sheet we have this perverse love affair with the stock market and cheerleaders with their constant lemma of "stocks are cheap". Of course they're cheap since they no longer have to follow generally accepted accounting principals and liabilities can magically become assets with the touch of a keypad. You have US $3.7 trillions in quantitative easing over the last two years and we still can't make a higher high! Here you can see the April 29th top of 12,876 is still well below the October 2008 high of 14,167: Read more..

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