Worldwide coffee output will rise to 139.7 million bags from 125.7 million a year earlier, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service said today in a report. Brazilian production will increase 23 percent to a record 55.3 million as crops enter the more- productive phase of a biennial cycle, the agency said. A bag weighs 60 kilograms (132 pounds).
This week, coffee futures in New York surged 11 percent, the most since January 2006, partly because of supply concerns in Brazil. The price for premium arabica beans reached a 27- month high. Inventories monitored by ICE Futures U.S. have dropped 27 percent this year to the lowest level since September 2002.
Vietnam, the second-largest producer, will harvest 18.7 million bags in the year starting Oct. 1, up 7 percent, the agricultural service said. Indonesia, the third-largest grower, will harvest 9.6 million bags in the year ending March 31, up 4.9 percent from a year earlier.
Colombia, the fourth-largest, will produce 9 million bags in the year starting Oct. 1, up 9.8 percent. Output will trail the five-year average of 11.8 million as higher temperatures and dry weather crimp output, the agency said.
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